Friday, February 24, 2006

Bubbles, bubbles, bubbles! No brackets here.

ACC
In: Duke, NC State, NC
In if they beat who they are supposed to: BC
Bubble: Maryland, FSU, Virginia, Miami

Big Eleven
In: Ohio State, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Michigan State, Wisconsin
Bubble: Indiana

Pac10
In: UCLA
In if they beat who they are supposed to: Cal, Washington, Arizona
Bubble: Stanford

Big 12
In: Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas
Bubble: Colorado, and anyone else who separates themselves from the middle

SEC
In: Tenneesseeeeee, LSU, Florida
In if they beat who they are supposed to: Kentucky, Alabama
Bubble: Arkansas, South Carolina

Big East
In: UConn, Nova, W.Virginia, Marquette, Georgetown, Pitt
In if they beat who they are supposed to: Syracuse, Cincy
Bubble: Seton Hall, Notre Dame (!!!)

Missouri Valley
In: Wichita State, Creighton, N.Iowa
Bubble: S.Illinois, Bradley, Missouri State

C-USA
In: Memphis
Bubble: Houston, UAB, UTEP

WAC
In: Nevada
Bubble: LaTech (Paul Millsap!), Utah State

A-14 (also known as Atlantic 10)
In: GW
Bubble: LaSalle, Temple, Charlotte, Xavier, StJoes

MWC
In: None
In if they beat who they are supposed to: San Diego State
Bubble: Air Force, BYU

WCC
In: Gonzaga
Bubble: None


CAA
In: None
In if they beat who they are supposed to: George Mason, UNC-Wilmington
Bubble: Hofstra, ODU, NE (JJ Barrea!)


Assuming the teams from the categories 1 and 2 above make it to the NCAA, this will leave a whooping eight at-large bids. That's a generous amount! That could mean that some of the mid-major conferences thought to have been one-bid leagues, will actually get two. The selection committee will have a hard time filling up the NCAA brackets with NIT-caliber teams! Their job will be made easier if non-NCAA teams grab the automatic bids. This also opens the NCAA door for teams who make a strong run in their conference tourneys. For example, three wins in the Big East tourney (three wins for a 5 thru 12 Big East seed would mean reaching the final)could be enough for a bid!

Assuming NCAA-bound teams win all the automatic bids, there will be plenty of bids to go around on the bubble. But this is not often the case, especially in the 1-bid and 2-bid conferences. So some of the presumed bubble spots will be taken away. Essentially when you see a bracketology report, you can assume that the "Last Four In" will probably be the "Last Four Out", assuming four non-NCAA bound teams win their conference tourneys and claim the automatic bid pushing at-large teams out.

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